Production · SOC 51-4041
CNC automation handles repetitive cuts, but machinists' judgment on edge cases, custom parts, and troubleshooting remains essential.
Hands-on, interpersonal or high-stakes work AI struggles to replace.
Timeline: High-mix, low-volume job shops remain heavily reliant on skilled machinists through at least 2035; commodity high-volume machining faces faster displacement.
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$45,590 median pay
$73,540 median pay
$49,140 median pay
$36,650 median pay
AI job-risk card
Machinists is resilient on AIFear. Hands-on, interpersonal or high-stakes work AI struggles to replace.
AIFear.com
Our AI Fear Score for Machinists is 32/100 (Resilient). Hands-on, interpersonal or high-stakes work AI struggles to replace.
32 out of 100, based on an AI-model review of this occupation's O*NET tasks against what current AI can actually do.
Most exposed: Routine CNC program entry from standard specs, Dimensional verification using digital instruments, Evaluating standard machining procedures for efficiency. Harder to automate: Setup and adjustment for novel or one-off parts, Reading ambiguous blueprints and resolving spec conflicts, Physical diagnosis of vibration, tool wear, and anomalies, Fixture and tooling design for unusual workpieces.
Lean into CNC programming (G-code/CAM), GD&T and precision metrology, CAD/CAM software, Lean machining practices, Problem-solving in process engineering. Consider roles such as CNC Programmer/Operator or Manufacturing Engineer or Tooling and Fixture Designer.
Tasks, skills and AI-exposure for this role were reviewed by an AI model against its O*NET task profile (curated roles use published research anchors). Pay and employment, where shown, are U.S. BLS OEWS (May 2024) figures. This is an estimate, not a prediction about any individual's job. Compare all occupations.