Transportation · SOC 53-3032
Operates heavy trucks to transport goods.
Parts of the job are exposed, but judgment and context still matter.
Timeline: 5–15 years — autonomy advances on highways; first/last mile lingers.
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$144,580 median pay
$84,830 median pay
$37,090 median pay
Transportation
$36,220 median pay
$58,480 median pay
AI job-risk card
Truck Driver is watch on AIFear. Parts of the job are exposed, but judgment and context still matter.
AIFear.com
Our AI Fear Score for Truck Driver is 52/100 (Watch). Parts of the job are exposed, but judgment and context still matter.
52 out of 100. It blends a Frey & Osborne automation probability of 79% with an estimated LLM task-exposure of 20%.
Most exposed: Long-haul highway driving, Route logging. Harder to automate: Complex urban delivery, Loading, customers and exceptions.
Lean into Specialized endorsements, Logistics, Fleet tech. Consider roles such as Specialized/hazmat hauling or Fleet operations.
AI Fear Score blends Frey & Osborne (2013) automation probability with an LLM task-exposure estimate (after Eloundou et al., 2023). Pay/employment are approximate BLS figures. This is an estimate, not a prediction about any individual's job. Compare all occupations.