Verdict
Electrician is the safer bet: it scores 17/100 against 26/100 for Plumber — 9 points less exposed to AI.
Skilled Trades
17 /100
Installs and repairs electrical systems.
Full risk profile →| Metric | Electrician | Plumber |
|---|---|---|
| AI Fear Score | 17/100 | 26/100 |
| Risk band | Resilient | Resilient |
| Automation probability | 15% | 35% |
| LLM task exposure | 20% | 15% |
| Median pay (BLS) | $61,000 | $61,000 |
| US workers | 760,000 | 490,000 |
| Timeline | Resilient — dexterous, on-site, safety-critical work. | Resilient — varied, physical, on-site problem solving. |
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Electrician is safer. It scores 17/100 vs 26/100 — Electrician keeps more tasks that need hands-on work, judgment or personal trust, while more of Plumber's core tasks are automatable.
They pay about the same at the median.
Scores are estimates, not predictions — two research anchors applied to task mixes, with BLS May-2024 wages and employment. Not career advice.