Verdict
UX / Product Designer is the safer bet: it scores 36/100 against 61/100 for Graphic Designer — 25 points less exposed to AI.
Creative & Media
61 /100
Creates visual concepts for brands, products and media.
Full risk profile →Technology
36 /100
Designs how digital products look and work.
Full risk profile →| Metric | Graphic Designer | UX / Product Designer |
|---|---|---|
| AI Fear Score | 61/100 | 36/100 |
| Risk band | At risk | Watch |
| Automation probability | 45% | 15% |
| LLM task exposure | 80% | 62% |
| Median pay (BLS) | $58,000 | $85,000 |
| US workers | 260,000 | 100,000 |
| Timeline | 1–4 years — image models commoditize routine production work. | Augmented — AI generates UI; product judgment and research remain. |
The usual pivots that reuse your experience while cutting exposure: Art director, UX/product designer. See the full plan →
UX / Product Designer is safer. It scores 36/100 vs 61/100 — UX / Product Designer keeps more tasks that need human judgment and context, while more of Graphic Designer's core tasks are automatable.
UX / Product Designer pays more at the median: $85,000 vs $58,000 (BLS May 2024).
Scores are estimates, not predictions — two research anchors applied to task mixes, with BLS May-2024 wages and employment. Not career advice.