Verdict
Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks and Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive are effectively tied on AI exposure (72 vs 72). Choose on pay, interest and entry cost — not on automation risk.
Office & Admin
72 /100
Production scheduling is increasingly AI-driven; cross-functional coordination and conflict resolution stay human.
Full risk profile →72 /100
AI now handles most routine admin tasks; the role survives through coordination and relationship judgment.
Full risk profile →| Metric | Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks | Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive |
|---|---|---|
| AI Fear Score | 72/100 | 72/100 |
| Risk band | At risk | At risk |
| Automation probability | 72% | 72% |
| LLM task exposure | 72% | 72% |
| Median pay (BLS) | $57,770 | $46,290 |
| US workers | 385,000 | 1,737,820 |
| Timeline | AI-driven production planning (SAP IBP, o9 Solutions) is already transforming this role; clerks who move into analyst or planner roles with ERP expertise will fare well through 2028. | AI tools like Copilot and scheduling agents already handle 60-70% of routine admin tasks, with full displacement of the most commoditized roles likely within 3-5 years; coordination-heavy positions will persist longer. |
For long-tail occupations the two research anchors share a single AI-reviewed exposure estimate — see the methodology.
The usual pivots that reuse your experience while cutting exposure: Executive assistant to C-suite, Office manager, Operations coordinator. See the full plan →
They're effectively tied: Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks scores 72/100 and Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive scores 72/100 on our AI exposure scale.
Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks pays more at the median: $57,770 vs $46,290 (BLS May 2024).
Scores are estimates, not predictions — two research anchors applied to task mixes, with BLS May-2024 wages and employment. Not career advice.